Longevity 21 Parallel Sessions
Longevity 21 - Floor Plan of Faculty of Economics
You can download the floor plan of the Conference venue here.
The following presentations have been accepted for the Longevity 21 Conference
Tuesday 8th September 2026
Parallel Session I (11:00am - 12:30pm)
1A -Covid-19 Mortality 1
Room: Aula Tarantelli – (1st floor)
- On the Nature and Handling of COVID-19 in ARIMA Mortality Forecasts
Stephen Richards - Modelling Post-pandemic Mortality; Scenario-based Projections across Countries
Ayse Arik (Chair)
1B -Mortality Modelling 1
Room: Aula 8B
- Decomposing General Differences in Cancer Mortality: Incidence, Survival and County-Level Variation in Taiwan
Ysonia (Pin-Huan) Huang - A Time-Varying Mortality Model with Non-Gaussian Distribution
I-Chien Liu - A Fit-for-purpose Model Selection Framework for Stochastic Mortality Modelling
Philipp Schulz (Chair)
1C - Investment Strategies
Room: Aula 6C
- State-Contingent Volatility Transmission between Equity Markets and Target-Date Funds: Implications for Risk-Minimizing Glide Paths
Huiyuan Wang - Robust Portfolio Choice under Preference Uncertainty: A Best-of-many approach
Anne Balter (Chair)
1D - Pensions
Room: Aula 6A
- Proposed Model of Longevity Risk Management in Polish Pension System
Marek Szczepanski - Mandatory Pension Saving and Homeownership
Bjarne Astrup Jensen - NDC Pension Systems under Socioeconomic Longevity Inequality: Financial Sustainability, Actuarial Fairness and Implicit Redistribution
Massimiliano Menzietti (Chair)
Tuesday 8th September 2026
Parallel Session II (2:00pm - 3:30pm)
2A - Sub Group Modelling
Room: Aula Tarantelli (1st floor)
- Explaining the Drift in Socio-economic Classifications.
Stefan Ramonat - Postcode-Level Longevity Risk Heterogeneity in the UK: Implications for Pension Buyouts and Annuity Pricing
Luna Orlovsky - Modelling Healthy Life Expectancy at Neighbourhood Level
Andrew Cairns (Chair)
2B - Retirement Issues 1
Room: Aula 8B
- Retirement Protection Gaps under Longevity Risk: Evidence from a Multi-Stakeholder Survey in Asia
Fu Yu - Subjective Survival Beliefs and the Wealth Gradient in Retirement (Mis)planning
Nan Zhu (Chair)
2C - Covid-19 Mortality 2
Room: Aula 8A
- Mortality Shocks in Insured Populations during COVID-19 and Implications for Annuity Life Tables
Hsin-Chung Wang - Robust Dynamic Mortality Modelling under Structural Shocks
Karen Barrera
2D - Health and Mortality 1
Room: Aula 6C
- Innovation-Driven Longevity and the Redesign of Health Insurance Contracts
Cinzia Di Palo - Years of Life Lived with Multiple Chronic Diseases in Denmark
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Bourcher - Who Gains and Who Loses Health? Decomposing Heterogeneity in Health Trajectories
Malene Kallestrup-Lamb (Chair)
2E - Mortality Modelling 2
Room: Aula 6A
- Is Mortality Two-Dimensional? Biological Burden, Physiological Reserve and Mortality Heterogeneity
Trevor Tingate - Dynamic Bayesian Mortality Surface Modelling with Local Age-Time Dependence
Mariane Alves - Aging by Design: Deriving Mortality Models from Reliability Theory
Kenneth Zhou (Chair)
Wednesday 9th September 2026
Parallel Session III (09.00am - 10:30am)
3A - Retirement Issues 2
Room: Aula Tarantelli – (1st floor)
- Retirement Age Management - Demands for the Future. Analysis of Solutions from Japan, The Netherlands & Sweden
Natalia Kamińska - An Ageing Britain: Health Gains and Retirement Pains (60 minutes)
Mei Sum Chan and Jack Carmichael (Chair)
3B - Mortality Forecasting
Room: Aula 8B
- CMI Mortality Projections Model
Stephen Bale - Time-Varying Temporal Reconciliation for Multi-Frequency Mortality Forecasting
Runze Li - Spatial Smoothing and Small-Sample Bias in Mortality Forecasting
Jack Yue (Chair)
3C - Climate and Mortality Modelling
Room: Aula 8A
- Assessing the Impact of Climate Change and Rising Temperature on Life Insurance
Jiacheng Min - Climate–Driven Mortality Forecasting Using Deep Learning
Kenrick So - Modelling Climate-Sensitive Mortality via Explainable Deep Learning
Raffaele Petrella (Chair)
3D - Health and Mortality 2
Room: Aula 6C
- Monitoring the Interplay between Longevity Risk and Health Dynamics: The Case of a Life Care Reverse Mortgage Portfolio
Giulia Magni - Who Dies Young? Concentration and Compositional Shift in Premature Mortality Risk
Alexander O.K. Marin - Towards Fairer Retirement Outcomes: Health-Related Mortality Modelling
Andrés Villegas (Chair)
3E - Mortality Modelling 3
Room: Aula 6A
- The Period-Cohort Mortality Gap in Annuity Valuation
Ivan Gallo - Population-Anchored Deep Learning for Sparse Annuity Mortality Modeling
Hong-Chih Huang - The Gender Mortality Gap: Unlocking Future Patterns via Neural Network Models
Giovanna Apicella (Chair)
Wednesday 9th September 2026
Parallel Session IV (2:00pm - 3:30pm)
4A - Longevity Risk Sharing
Room: Aula Tarantelli – (1st floor)
- Building a Tradable Longevity Asset Class: From Insurance Liability to Institutional Investment Product
Ziv Cohen - Optimal Payouts for Stable and Equitable Longevity Risk-Sharing Arrangements
Andres Villegas - A One-Period Systemic Risk Factor Model with Longevity Risk
Richard MacMinn (Chair)
4B- Annuities
Room: Aula 8A
- VIX-Triggered Target Volatility and VM-21 Reserve Efficiency for Variable Annuity Guarantees
Chi-Fang Chao - Bequest Motives and Demand for Deferred Annuities
Xiaobai Zhu - Product Design, Capital Requirements, and Risk Management in Fixed Indexed Annuities
Jennifer Wang (Chair)
4C - Long Term Care
Room: Aula 6C
- Prudential Liquidity Rules beyond Banking: Evidence from Refundable Deposit Funding for Aged Care Providers
Lingfeng Lyu - A Risk-Adjusted Analysis of LTC Insurance
Alba Roviello - Measuring the Effectiveness of Long-Term Care Integration within Pension Systems
Alberto Piscitelli (Chair)
4D - Mortality Modelling 4
Room: Aula 6A
- Gradient Boosted Multi-population Mortality Modelling with High-frequency Data
Ziting Miao - Quantum-Compatible Vitagion Mortality Modelling: A Forward-Looking Extension of the Lee-Carter Model
Rocco Romano (Chair)