Bayes CRE Lending Project & Services

Bayes Business School hosts one of the most renowned UK real estate debt market research projects.  The unique research into real estate debt markets is based on the data submissions from over 70 lending institutions in the UK.

Data Alliance with lenders

Data is collected from participating lenders  in a standardised data template. The granular loan information broadly includes data fields on:

Data variables:

total outstanding loan amount, maturity profileinterest margin, type of interest
property type & regionloan-to-value ratio (LTV) & debt-service coverage (DSC)
defaults & lossessecondary market trading - syndications

Participating lenders receive the full analysis & results in return for their data submission

Why should lenders participate?

  • Individual reporting, performance comparison and asset allocation, benchmarking and portfolio analysis tool for lenders’ CRE exposure.
  • The collection and analysis of data would follow best practice to provide: reliable figures for key underwriting metrics such as Probability of Default, Loss Given Default, accounting for both loan cash flows and balance sheet adjustments through marked-to-market values and credit provisions.
  • Internal loan mark-to-market model inputs and verification, supporting impairment models and discussions with regulator – independent third-party standard

Who else is it for?

Banks – loan benchmarking, mark-to-marketConsultants, debt advisors
Portfolio managers, debt fund managers and investorsRating agencies & regulators
Capital allocatorsTax advisors

What is included:

the project provides timely updates on the UK lending market in a comprehensive report which is published in April (31st December), and October (30 June) each year. It contains insights of the development of the UK CRE debt market going back to 1997.

The research reports are a key point of reference for all those involved in real estate as borrowers, lenders, lawyers, consultants or researchers.

  • CRE debt market cycle since 1997 and the financial system – tracking for example the loan delinquencies and defaults through the last major cycle.
  • Total annual CRE lending volumes, active lenders, loan sizes, development finance, investment finance.
  • UK lenders’ loan books across regions and property sectors, highlighting points such as the recent growth in lending on private rented residential schemes.
  • A detailed picture of current lending terms for senior, junior and debt - loan to value ratios, interest rates and fees – across a range of property types and types of loan.
  • Specifically, tracks fixed/variable-rate, fixed-term senior & junior loans that are made by and held in the investment portfolios (“on balance sheet”) of institutional lenders such as life insurance companies and pension funds and banks

Industry funding

The research project is annually financed by key market advisory and valuation firms:

Savills
Colliers
CBRE

Major London law firms active in real estate finance

JLL
AO Shearman

Financial institutions from the lending community

NatWest
Nuveen Real Estate
Canada Life Investments
Fitch Ratings

Other financial service providers

CREFC
APF
BFP

Other market players can obtain the reports and other research outputs and support the project via the webstore:

For discounts, bespoke reports, or how to become a sponsor, please contact Nicole.Lux@city.ac.uk

Partner projects across Europe

With the support of the industry other partner projects have been created in Germany and France.

Further information on European lending markets and volumes by country can be found below:

German Debt Project, IREBS

French Financing Study, IEIF

UK, Bayes CRE lending report