Contact
- +44 (0)20 7040 8772
- Malvina.Marchese@citystgeorges.ac.uk
About
Overview
Malvina is lecturer in Finance at the Faculty of Finance and the Academic Director of the Finance Cluster degrees at Bayes Business School (formerly Cass), City, University of London since August 2019. Previously to joining Bayes Business School , she lead the Risk Management Team of Shell Oil, Italy. Malvina holds a B.Sc. and an M.Sc. in Econometrics and Mathematical Economics and a Ph.D. Econometrics from the London School of Economics and Political Science.
She has extensive industry experience in quantitative risk management , having held full time and consultancy positions since 2008 in the industry. She is currently research advisor to Maersk Brokers in shipping econometrics and to CBRE Investment in real estate forecasting . Her research interest include econometrics of commodity markets , multivariate fractionally integrated GARCH models, long memory in realized volatility, forecasting measures and quantile panel regressions models.
Qualifications
- PhD, London School of Economics and Political Science, UK, 2011 - January 2015
- MSc Econometrics and Mathematical Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, UK, September 2007 - July 2008
Employment
- Non -Executive Director of Econometrics, Timberlake Consultants, UK, September 2019 - present
- Econometric Advisor, Maersk Brokers (Denmark), Denmark, August 2019 - present
- Econometric Consultant, Dedalus s.p.a, Italy, January 2017 - October 2018
- Visiting Scholar, Bayes Business School (formerly Cass), City, University of London, UK, January 2016 - July 2019
- Head of Risk Management, Shell Oil, Italy, September 2008 - October 2011
Languages
English (can read, write, speak, understand spoken, peer review), French (can read, speak, understand spoken) and Italian (can read, write, speak, understand spoken, peer review)
Expertise
Primary topics
- Econometrics
Additional topics
- Financial Econometrics
Industries
- energy
Publications
Journal articles (11)
- Shi, Y., Papapostolou, N.C., Marchese, M., Moutzouris, I.C. and Efstathiou, A. (2026). Interplay Between Green Investment and Market Price Premia in Global Shipping. International Journal of Finance & Economics. doi:10.1002/ijfe.70123
- Alizadeh, A., Groven, B.R., Marchese, M., Moutzouris, I., Risstad, M. and Rustad, C.A.B. (2025). A hybrid combination approach to forecast freight rates volatility. Quantitative Finance, 25(11), pp. 1695-1716. doi:10.1080/14697688.2025.2568045
- Shi, Y., Papapostolou, N.C., Marchese, M., Moutzouris, I.C. and Efstathiou, A. (2025). Green Investment under Market Uncertainty: Scrubber installation in shipping. Commodity Insights Digest
- Moutzouris, I.C., Papapostolou, N.C., Marchese, M., Tamvakis, M.N. and Shi, Y. (2024). Determinants of the price premium for eco vessels. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 136, pp. 104414-104414. doi:10.1016/j.trd.2024.104414
- Marchese, M., Martínez-Miranda, M.D., Nielsen, J.P. and Scholz, M. (2024). Robustifying and simplifying high-dimensional regression with applications to yearly stock return and telematics data. Financial Innovation, 10(1). doi:10.1186/s40854-024-00657-9
- Moutzouris, I.C., Papapostolou, N.C., Marchese, M. and Tamvakis, M. (2024). Determinants of the price premium for Eco vessels. Commodity Insights Digest, 2(1). doi:10.1016/j.trd.2024.104414
- Marchese, M., Kyriakou, I., Di Iorio, F. and Tamvakis, M. (2023). Asset Correlations and Macroeconomic Fundamentals. Commodity Insights Digest, 1(2)
- Marchese, M., Kyriakou, I., Tamvakis, M. and Di Iorio, F. (2020). Forecasting crude oil and refined products volatilities and correlations: New evidence from fractionally integrated multivariate GARCH models. Energy Economics pp. 104757-104757. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2020.104757
- Ferrari, C., Marchese, M. and Tei, A. (2018). Shipbuilding and economic cycles: a non-linear econometric approach. Maritime Business Review, 3(2), pp. 112-127. doi:10.1108/mabr-01-2018-0002
- Cucinelli, D., Battista, M.L.D., Marchese, M. and Nieri, L. (2018). Credit risk in European banks: The bright side of the internal ratings based approach. Journal of Banking & Finance, 93, pp. 213-229. doi:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2018.06.014
- marchese, M., Kyriakou, I., Tamvakis, M. and Di Iorio, F. Forecasting Energy Price Volatilities and Correlations: New Evidence From Fractionally Integrated Multivariate Garch Models. SSRN Electronic Journal. doi:10.2139/ssrn.3544242
Scholarly edition
- Tamvakis, M., Marchese, M., Kyriakou, I. and Di Iorio, F. (2020). Forecasting crude oil and refined products volatilities and correlations: New evidence from fractionally integrated multivariate GARCH models.
Working papers (4)
- marchese, M., Di Iorio, F., Tamvakis, M. and Kyriakou, I. (2023). Structural Changes in Asset Correlations And Macroeconomic Fundamentals.
- Marchese, M., Kyriakou, I., Tamvakis, M. and Di Iorio, F. Forecasting structural changes in short and long-run correlations: A Mixed Regime DCC-MIDAS model.
- Franus, T., Marchese, M. and Payne, R. A machine learning approach to predict market manipulation.
- Moutzouris, I., Papapostolou, N.C., marchese, M. and Tamvakis, M. Determinants of the Price Premium for Eco Vessels. Elsevier BV.